Assuming we don't have another one shortly...
All candidates from this point on will have to campaign for 36 hours straight on the final days. This indicates that you 'really want it'. It being the job, the Prime Minister thing.
WAYS TO LOSE, OR COURT SERIOUS TROUBLE
These are surefire, btw.
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| Via News. |
- Roll your leader during the term, if it's the first term. Also:
- Roll your leader, then adopt a mousy voice and say 'look, everythings still ok!'
- Promise everything, use terms like 'root and branch' and 'greatest moral challenge' then do fuck all.
- Promise little, and look like struggling at even delivering that.
- Have state Governments that share your name that suck, hard.
- Take advice from fucktards, like Arbib, like Howes, so on.
- Have a bunch of leaks from the leader you rolled during the campaign.
So were the Greens the real winners of Indecsion 10 (formerly Enforced Decision 2010)?
The ABC's graphics, when indicating the swing to the Greens (+3.4), reflected something about an eighth of the size of the LNP swing bar (their swing was 1.4). Many find it all a bit tough to take seriously. Maybe that's because Bob Brown used his tally room floor speech to dreamily inform Australia that days ago a baby whale was born in the Derwent. Maybe. And maybe the Greens can only take support from Labor. Maybe they'll never be mainstream mainstream. Maybe everything would be different if they supported the (flawed) ETS, in that we'd have one, we'd have a Labor PM this morning and his name would be Kevin.
See, maybe if Labor hadn't been so gutless on the ETS, this result would be significantly different for the Greens. And yet, to believe that you must believe that this nation, conveniently, falls into two camps every three or so years, and regardless of variation (sometimes from the Democrats, or One Nation, or indeed Green), there is a loose centre left that spins outwards, and a centre right that does the same. More often than not that centre right gets the gong, but so on etc. Are we that simple? Does two party matter so much?
Julia thinks so. At her afternoon presser she speaks of having the moral high ground, as Labor leads the two-party count. Abbott says they have said high ground, as they have received more primary votes. So it will go for some time.
Opinion is mixed is who is more likely to form a Government- more lean toward a Gillard Labor govt, as Labor seem likely to win 73, maybe 74 seats (Andrew Wilkie is not assured of a win apparently), therefore needing the Green and two/three indies. It would appear that the LNP can only win 73 seats but look likely to only win 72, meaning they'll need all the independents and some luck. Said independents have been making noises on broadband and climate change. We still suspect they'll vote as a bloc. And don't they hate Barnaby? It all seems to points one way. And yet- and yet. It's easy enough to see the result as a rejection of the Government. And that can turn a mans mind can it not?
INDEPENDENCEY
If nothing else, these three make an interesting break from the political talking heads in this country. I hear nothing much aside from the word 'decent' being ascribed to both Tony Windsor and Rob Oakeshott, and as tonight's special Sunday 7.30 again proved, Bob Katter makes for compelling viewing. I didn't understand a lot of what he said. He did use the term 'paradigm' on three occasions, which is nice- haven't heard that word so liberally applied since a first year Ethics class a while back. BobKat also spoke of sugar, of hating Barnaby, and having a fairly decent 'bulldust metre'. The rest, I dunno. But it was a brilliant stroke from the ABC to shoot him against a streetscape and Katter clearly knew how to fill the frame, arms crossed, serious suit, his white bonce glimmering in the Queensland evening. Their time has come, and they all seem to be up for it.
So, in extra time section 1, it's about Hasluck. Without it, Labor seem to finish on 72. Most are giving Denison to Wilkie, although I understand there's some conjecture on that front. But Brisbane has again slipped beyond Labor, meaning it's all about the postals in Hasluck. And Labor folk are quietly confident of hitting the front and staying there after a solid postal campaign. With it, and with 73, Labor seem to have the authority. Abbott will suggest that Labor does not have such authority, but big swings and overwhelming the low expectations aside, there is the tough fact that the nation didn't exactly embrace him either. Either way, we won't know for up to a week says Antony Green. What a strange anti-climax- it's almost offensive. But there's a process at work, one assumes, and as it goes process itself is being assessed and questioned. And annoyingly, I feel compelled to continue doing so here. I'd love to resume normal life, actually get some work done, so on, but I, like those three indies, will wrap myself in the national flag and tap away, bringing further inanity to you as it happens. Sit tight Australia.
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